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HomeStock GuidesLMT
Industrial / DefenseTechnical Analysis Guide

LMT Stock Analysis

Lockheed Martin Corporation

Lockheed Martin is the world's largest defense contractor by revenue, producing F-35 stealth fighters (the most expensive weapons program in U.S. history), missiles (Javelin, HIMARS, PAC-3), space systems, and C4ISR (command, control, communications, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance) systems. Approximately 70% of revenue comes from the U.S. government, with growing international sales driven by NATO allies' defense spending increases following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

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Why Traders Watch LMT

LMT is the premier defense sector trade — low volatility (ATR 1.5-2%), consistent earnings execution, and a massive multi-year backlog ($150B+) provide excellent revenue visibility. Geopolitical escalation events (Russia-Ukraine, Taiwan tensions, Middle East conflicts) drive immediate defense spending expectations higher and boost LMT 3-5% in single sessions. The company is also a reliable dividend grower, attracting income investors who create support at oversold levels.

LMT Technical Signals

F-35 Delivery RateLargest revenue program

Lockheed's F-35 program generates $10B+ per year and is LMT's most important revenue line. Annual F-35 delivery targets (typically 130-160 jets per year) and any deviations — ahead or behind schedule — drive the most significant quarterly earnings surprises. Supply chain constraints on F-35 components (particularly ALIS software) are the primary delivery risk.

RSI BehaviorDefensive 42-65 range

LMT's RSI is among the most stable of any large-cap industrial stock due to its highly predictable government contract revenue. RSI dips to 42-48 during peace-dividend selloffs (when markets price in reduced defense spending) have been reliable entries — geopolitical realities consistently reassert the need for U.S. defense investment within 1-2 quarters.

Geopolitical CatalystsConflict = defense spending

International defense spending increases — driven by European NATO commitments, Middle East rearmament, and Indo-Pacific security concerns — are structural multi-year tailwinds for LMT. Each new country announcing F-35 procurement or HIMARS orders drives incremental backlog growth. Monitor NATO defense ministerial meetings for spending commitment announcements.

Backlog Growth$150B+ contracted revenue

LMT's $150B+ backlog provides 3+ years of revenue visibility — extraordinary for an industrial company. When quarterly backlog grows above $155B while book-to-bill ratio exceeds 1.1×, it signals the next 2-3 years of revenue will exceed current analyst estimates. This backlog visibility is what justifies LMT's premium valuation vs. cyclical industrials.

LMT Key Stats for Traders

ATR (14-day)1.5-2% of price
Avg daily volume~1-3 million shares
Key metricF-35 deliveries + backlog growth
Post-earnings move3-6% typical

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Frequently Asked Questions — LMT

Is LMT a good stock to buy right now?
Whether LMT is a buy depends on its current technical positioning. LMT is the premier defense sector trade — low volatility (ATR 1.5-2%), consistent earnings execution, and a massive multi-year backlog ($150B+) provide excellent revenue visibility. Geopolitical escalation events (Russia-Ukraine, Taiwan tensions, Middle East conflicts) drive immediate defense spending expectations higher and boost LMT 3-5% in single sessions. The company is also a reliable dividend grower, attracting income investors who create support at oversold levels. Run a live APEX analysis at apexstockintel.com to see the current composite score, RSI, and MACD signals — updated every trading day.
What are the most important technical signals for LMT?
The four key signals for LMT are: F-35 Delivery Rate (Largest revenue program) — Lockheed's F-35 program generates $10B+ per year and is LMT's most important revenue line. Annual F-35 delivery targets (typically 130-160 jets per year) and any deviations — ahead or behind schedule — drive the most significant quarterly earnings surprises. Supply chain constraints on F-35 components (particularly ALIS software) are the primary delivery risk.. RSI Behavior (Defensive 42-65 range) — LMT's RSI is among the most stable of any large-cap industrial stock due to its highly predictable government contract revenue. RSI dips to 42-48 during peace-dividend selloffs (when markets price in reduced defense spending) have been reliable entries — geopolitical realities consistently reassert the need for U.S. defense investment within 1-2 quarters.. Geopolitical Catalysts (Conflict = defense spending) — International defense spending increases — driven by European NATO commitments, Middle East rearmament, and Indo-Pacific security concerns — are structural multi-year tailwinds for LMT. Each new country announcing F-35 procurement or HIMARS orders drives incremental backlog growth. Monitor NATO defense ministerial meetings for spending commitment announcements.. Backlog Growth ($150B+ contracted revenue) — LMT's $150B+ backlog provides 3+ years of revenue visibility — extraordinary for an industrial company. When quarterly backlog grows above $155B while book-to-bill ratio exceeds 1.1×, it signals the next 2-3 years of revenue will exceed current analyst estimates. This backlog visibility is what justifies LMT's premium valuation vs. cyclical industrials.
What is LMT's RSI telling traders right now?
LMT's RSI is among the most stable of any large-cap industrial stock due to its highly predictable government contract revenue. RSI dips to 42-48 during peace-dividend selloffs (when markets price in reduced defense spending) have been reliable entries — geopolitical realities consistently reassert the need for U.S. defense investment within 1-2 quarters. APEX scores LMT's RSI as part of its 8-factor composite signal — updated daily.
How does LMT behave technically compared to other Industrial / Defense stocks?
LMT is in the Industrial / Defense sector. Lockheed Martin is the world's largest defense contractor by revenue, producing F-35 stealth fighters (the most expensive weapons program in U.S. history), missiles (Javelin, HIMARS, PAC-3), space systems, and C4ISR (command, control, communications, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance) systems. Approximately 70% of revenue comes from the U.S. government, with growing international sales driven by NATO allies' defense spending increases following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Key stats: ATR (14-day): 1.5-2% of price, Avg daily volume: ~1-3 million shares, Key metric: F-35 deliveries + backlog growth, Post-earnings move: 3-6% typical.
What MACD signals work best for LMT?
MACD measures momentum direction via the relationship between two exponential moving averages. Bullish crossovers (MACD line crossing above the signal line) indicate increasing upward momentum, while bearish crossovers signal the opposite. APEX tracks LMT's MACD histogram direction daily.
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